Home > India, Sport > “Another Sachin century, another match India couldn’t win…” is there merit in that statistic.

“Another Sachin century, another match India couldn’t win…” is there merit in that statistic.


“Once I was on a night train winding down from Simla to Kalka that stopped halfway for refreshments at a station lit by flaming torches. On a small television screen wreathed in cigarette smoke in the corner of the dining room Tendulkar was batting in a match in Mumbai. No one moved or spoke or looked away. The train was delayed by 20 minutes. Not until Tendulkar was out could the world resume its normal timetables and rhythms”

 (The above quote is by Greg Baum is a writer with the Melbourne Age)

            I wonder if there is any game, that evokes passion, more or similar  than cricket in India. The game crosses all barriers embedded in the Indian society, and for a brief span of 6 hrs we see a unified India. I realized that, over the period,Cricket has become an inherent part of  Indian culture, etched in to the indian way of life and is an important part of everyday life like the curries, the saffron, the tikka and gol guppas. it evokes same passions as religions and socio-economic conditions do in different parts of the world. It brings in emotions that even local politics or politicians can compete with, that is cricket in india. I  Love the game…but this is not what I want to discuss.

         The world cup match between England and India ended in a draw after Indians and the English did a trapeze show on the field each going up then falling down at speeds that would awe anyone in a circus. While it was by sheer luck that both teams managed a draw it was anyone’s game. Both played well and both goofed up real bad, but it in middle of all this excitement was a small Facebook entry from a very dear friend “Another Sachin century, another match India couldn’t win…” and that made me think is there any merit in that ….. This is find out if there is any

 

So I went on to the stats guru of cricinfo and got the basic data on Sachin:

Match Status Mat Inns NO Runs HS Ave BF SR 100 50 0
Won matches 224 221 34 10789 200* 57.69 11915 90.54 33 56 8
Lost Matches 194 194 2 6319 175 32.91 7941 79.57 12 35 11
draw/no result 28 20 5 669 120 44.6 744 89.91 2 2 1
Total 446 435 41 17777 200* 45.11 20600 86.29 47 93 20

  Win percentage:

Match Status  Mat Inns NO Runs
Won matches  50%  51%  83%  61% 
Lost Matches 43% 45% 5% 36%
draw/no result 6% 5% 12% 4%

 

Sachin seem to have won 50% of the matches that he has played and about 51% of the innings that he has actually played. Well that does not seem to be great. We can compare it overall Indian team for the period India has played 598 matches and won 303 matches during the same period so that is about 50% win percentage. But the interesting snippet is out of the 598 matches that India played in the last 20 years Sachin has played in 75% of the matches. That itself is no mean feat.

 Not out:

Sachin remains not out about 1/10 games. But considering that he opens the game it is special ask of any batsman. But the interesting fact is if we ignore the games that were drawn or abandoned if a Sachin remains not out then there is a 95% chance that India will win the game.

Total Runs:

61% of his runs came from the matches that India has won. His average in the matches that India has won is a whopping 57.7 and the total runs that he has made in the games that we have won are more than 10,000 runs. The closest next is Ganguly whose contribution in matches that we have won is around 6800 runs with an average of 55

Run Rate

Let’s look at this stat

Match Status Inns Played Runs Balls Faced Ball faced per inning Avg. no of overs played per inning batting average Run rate
Won matches 221 10789 11915 54 8.99 57.69        6.42
Lost Matches 194 6319 7941 41 6.82 32.91        4.82
draw/no result 20 669 744 37 6.20 44.6        7.19
Total 435 17777 20600 47 7.89 45.11        5.72

 From the above stat, in the matches that India won, Sachin maintains an average of 6.4 runs per over compared to 4.8 in the matches that India has lost.

 Now to the main question. Is there a correlation between his centuries and India to win?

Match Status  100’s %
Won matches 33 70%
Lost Matches 12 26%
draw/no result 2 4%
Total 47  

 70% of Sachin’s centuries came in the games that India has won.  He would hit a century every six matches that India won and one in every 12 matches that India lost.  So I guess Sachin centuries contributed to wins more than it contributed to losses if we compare with his general average of 50% wins in his career.

While this is no conclusive research and can be debated by pure statisticians regarding my methodology or the tools that I have used or not used, it would not make any major difference. He is no god and cricket is no religion but If Ian Botham can be seen as the Errol Flynn of cricket, or Viv Richards as the Martin Luther King, or Shane Warne as the Marilyn Monroe, or Muttiah Muralitharan as the hobbit, Tendulkar is surely the game’s secular saint. For twenty years he has been delivering what he has destined to do. Right from the beginning, he appeared to be touched by divinity. He came among us as a boy-god, unannounced. He was 16 and was hit on the head in his first appearance, but neither flinched nor retreated a step. Nothing thenceforth could harm him, temporal or otherwise. Numbers speak for while he remain quiet and number do not take sides…..

sunil varma

Data source : Cricinfo.com,

Pictures are taken from the net and i believe they are free to share, if anyone has an objection pls. revert back I will remove them.

Advertisements
  1. dipanmehta
    October 16, 2014 at 8:31 pm
  2. vicky
    October 31, 2011 at 7:51 am

    so you say sachin is a match winner………then y didn’t india won world cup for so many years….y he failed to be successful captain…he his the worst captain ever,,,you just show his centuries and you can’t say he his amatch winner…even though he made so many centuries still in many occassions it required other player to word very hard to win the match…i guess he played few match wining knocks like sharjah cup etc etc..but he is not a match winner n worst captain ever…….

    • October 31, 2011 at 6:46 pm

      @ vickey: the Discussion is not if Sachin is a match winner, but to figure out if there is any truth in the statement ” when Sachin hits a century, India looses the match” well as you have read there is no reason for anyone to believe that.

      to answer your other questions:

      India did not win the world cup, because the team played bad: not because of Sachin, his performance in world cup is better than his normal average. Tournaments are won by teams not individuals. if we look at the last world cup it was won by Indian team because everyone contributed. The best world cup for India before the last one was 2003, Sachin was the man of the series.

      He is a bad captain…he agree to it and so do a lot of people. He is a great strategist but not a good captain. that is why he gave it up. if you recall, it was Sachin who resigned because he was not able to cope up. Dhoni is one of the best captains India has seen, but he is not the best Batsman, but that still makes a valuable player in the Indian team.

      Assuming that the man of the match is given to someone who has ensured a win, Sachin has won them 62 times. so it not just a few winning knocks in Sharjah. only 6 of these are from matches where India lost and this is only ODI. (8 of these are in world cup.). He was man of the series 16 times in his career involving 94 matches so i guess you need to look at number better. Numbers speak the truth.

      He is a great batsman, and has been the mainstay batsman on Indian cricket for the last 20 years, that itself is an achievement. He has his flaws as a batsman then so does every human being. But the general agreement is he is someone with a special talent and one of the best in the world for the last 20 years.

      I guess we should appreciate what he has done and stop bashing him for the heck of it….

  3. August 1, 2011 at 9:07 am

    true… but ultimately, like the how a wise man once said: I used to look down on the world for being corrupt, but now I adore it for the utter magnificence of that corruption.

  4. NAVEEN CHINTHALA
    April 17, 2011 at 11:15 am

    you have done good job…

  5. jay shrivastava
    April 2, 2011 at 6:02 am

    beuty lies in the eyes ofbeholders.
    sachin is great & more then gretest.static is not alyes the way to scel any person.if we look his temprament ,his devotion,his consistensi,his nature,his contribution for the nation,its so great & wonderful.
    i alweys sing for him-THUJ ME RAB DIKHTA HAI YARA ME KYA KARU,SHDE SAR JUKTA HAI YARA ME KYA KARUUUUU.

  6. Harsh Gokhale
    March 13, 2011 at 6:56 am

    I wanted this info always. Thanks for the job done.

    When you get time could you use the same methodology for other players, Indian and otherwise and see how they have contributed to their team’s wins. Look at 50s of theirs. Then we should see where Tendulkar stands vis-a-vis others in the context of conversion rate.

    • March 15, 2011 at 5:57 am

      you are welcome and i am glad that u like it….i hope to elaborate in the lines that u have suggested as soon as i find time…but a mini analysis of the same is posted in my post CENTURIES GOING DOWN THE DRAIN…….i hope u will like it..

  7. Venkat
    March 13, 2011 at 12:21 am

    This one shuts all Sachin Basher’s mouths.

    • March 15, 2011 at 5:58 am

      well this was meant to shut them for good….lol

  1. December 28, 2012 at 1:27 pm

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: